Difference between revisions of "Vietnam Energy Situation"
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Revision as of 10:05, 20 May 2015
Capital:
Hanoi
Region:
Coordinates:
21.0333° N, 105.8500° E
Total Area (km²): It includes a country's total area, including areas under inland bodies of water and some coastal waterways.
331,340
Population: It is based on the de facto definition of population, which counts all residents regardless of legal status or citizenship--except for refugees not permanently settled in the country of asylum, who are generally considered part of the population of their country of origin.
98,858,950 (2023)
Rural Population (% of total population): It refers to people living in rural areas as defined by national statistical offices. It is calculated as the difference between total population and urban population.
61 (2023)
GDP (current US$): It is the sum of gross value added by all resident producers in the economy plus any product taxes and minus any subsidies not included in the value of the products. It is calculated without making deductions for depreciation of fabricated assets or for depletion and degradation of natural resources.
429,716,969,050 (2023)
GDP Per Capita (current US$): It is gross domestic product divided by midyear population
4,346.77 (2023)
Access to Electricity (% of population): It is the percentage of population with access to electricity.
100.00 (2022)
Energy Imports Net (% of energy use): It is estimated as energy use less production, both measured in oil equivalents. A negative value indicates that the country is a net exporter. Energy use refers to use of primary energy before transformation to other end-use fuels, which is equal to indigenous production plus imports and stock changes, minus exports and fuels supplied to ships and aircraft engaged in international transport.
-15.11 (2013)
Fossil Fuel Energy Consumption (% of total): It comprises coal, oil, petroleum, and natural gas products.
69.82 (2013)
Introduction
During the last 25 years Viet Nam’s economic growth reached more than 6% each year. At the same time, the energy demand increased almost twice as fast as the GDP. Within an expected continuous increase of energy demand in the next years, Viet Nam’s energy sector will have to face many challenges, such as limited domestic fossil resources, air pollution and climate change, causing amongst other things water scarcity. Viet Nam has been ranked among the five countries, that will be most affected by climate change.[1] Another issue is the unreliability of power supply, especially in rural areas. In order to face these challenges, legislative conditions have to be adopted and the framework conditions for investments have to be reformed to strengthen foreign investments and eventually stimulate the expansion of renewable energy generation capacity.
Further information about Viet Nam see: All articles about Viet Nam on energypedia
General Overview of Viet Nam's Energy Situation
A reliable power supply is an important requirement for an emerging market like Viet Nam. By end of 2014, 34 GW generation capacity was installed in the country, producing around 146 TWh electricity. Assumptions of the Power Development Plan VII (PDP VII) predict an overall power demand increase by a factor of almost 2.4 in the next 5 years, reaching a demand of 350 TWh in 2020, with an installed capacity of 75 GW. According to the PDP, coal power plants will mainly contribute to the essential capacity expansion, surpassing hydropower as primary resource for electricity generation.
Currently, the power production is still dominated by hydropower with a share of 41% in electricity generation, followed by natural gas with 31% and coal with 26%. Due to limited domestic coal and gas resources, Viet Nam’s fossil import dependency will increase. Except from hydropower, markets for renewable energies such as for wind and solar power are in a very early stage of development. Knowledge and reliable information about project development or regulative processes is very limited. [2]
Fig. 1: Electricity Production and Installed Capacity 2014 by Generation Technology
Governance and Market Structure
The Vietnamese electricity market is monopolistic, dominated by the state-owned-enterprise EVN, which is supervised by the Ministry of Industry and Trade (MoIT). In the generation market, EVN is single-buyer and power transmission and distribution systems are exclusively operated by subsidiary companies of the utility. However, the goal of the government is to develop a competition-based generation, wholesale and retail market until 2023, in particular in order to attract private and foreign investments in the energy sector. The average electricity selling price has been continuously increasing in the last years, but with 1622 VND/kWh (incl. VAT; appr. 7.5 USCent/kWh) it is still too low to finance overall electricity generation costs. As one result, EVN operated at a deficit of 790 million US$ in 2014.[3]
Fig. 2: Institutional Framework of the Electricity Sector
Renewable Energies in Viet Nam
In 2014, renewable energies (including hydropower) contributed with 41% to Viet Nam’s electricity demand, but this share was almost exclusively accounted for by hydropower. According to the MoIT Small Hydropower (SHP) can still be expanded, but in general Viet Nam’s hydropower potential is nearly exploited. In contrast, wind, solar and biomass expansion potentials are high and to a great extent untapped. In the PDP VII, expansion targets for renewable energy generation capacities are set until 2030, as shown in the figure below.[2]
Fig. 3: Renewables Capacity Targets until 2030 (according to PDP VII)
Wind Power
Although potential for wind power development in Vietnam is high, only 52 MW have been put into operation up until now. While many projects are in the planning phase, they face substantial market barriers, such as deficient wind measurement data reliability and a low feed-in-tariff for wind energy of only 7.8 Ct/kWh.
Further information are provided on Wind Energy Country Analysis Vietnam. (Page update planned for June 2015)
Bioenergy
According to PDP7 a bioenergy generation capacity of 500 MW will be installed until 2020. The largest regional feedstock potential is located in the Mekong delta region. Feed-in tariffs for electricity co-generation and municipal-solid-waste projects are already established, but projects are mostly in an early planning phase. It is assumed that the support mechanism and framework have to be adopted and expanded on further applications and feedstock in order to strenghen biomass power deployment in Viet Nam.
Fig. 5: Theoretical Potential of Power from Biomass in Viet Nam
Solar Power
In general, Viet Nam can be considered as a country with high solar energy potential. The solar resources are comparable to countries like Italy, Spain, and California or – staying in the region – China or Thailand. According to a very recent mapping project by a Spanish research consortium estimations of overall solar resources in Viet Nam show an average GHI of 4-5 kWh/m2/day in most regions of southern, central and partially even northern Viet Nam (corresponding to 1,460-1,825 Wh/m2/year) and peak irradiation levels of up to 5.5 kWh/m2/day on average in some southern regions (corresponding to about 2,000 kWh/m2/year).[4]
Further information are provided on Solar Energy Country Analysis Vietnam.
Fig. 6: Solar Irradiation Maps of Viet Nam - Annual Average of Daily GHI and DNI (CINEMAT et. al. 2015)
Transmission and Distribution System
The national transmission and distribution grid has to be extended in synchronization with increasing power demand and generation capacity in order to reduce power outages, losses and increase the quality of supply. During the period of 2014-2020 an investment volume of around 12.4 billion US$ is estimated to be needed. Viet Nam’s rural electrification rate was 97.3% by the end of 2013. Thus, it is another governmental target to reach 100% by 2020. Furthermore, In PDP 7 it is also stated to strive for an implementation of a cooperation and connectivity program with ASIAN and Mekong sub-region power grids. High voltage line connections with Laos, Cambodia and China already exist.
In terms of power reliability Viet Nam is currently ranked 113 out of 144 countries.[5] In rural areas, power shortages and blackouts, lasting longer than 5 min occurred around 20 times per year in 2013.[6]
Legal Documents
There are a number of legal documents relevant for the implementation of Renewable Energy projects in Viet Nam. Some of these documents are listed below:
The Prime Minister’s Decision No. 1208/QD-TT, Approving The National Master Plan for Power Development in The 2011-2020 Period, With Considerations to 2030, Legal Document, Hanoi, 21 July 2011
The Prime Minister’s Decision No. 63/2013/QD-TTg, Providing for the roadmaps, conditions and structure and level of electricity market in Vietnam, Legal Document, Hanoi, 8 November 2011
The Prime Minister‘s Decision No. 37/2011/QD-TTg, The Mechanism Supporting the Development of Wind Project in Vietnam, Legal Document, Hanoi, 29 June 2011.
The Ministry of Industry and Trade‘s Circular No. 06/2013/TT-BCT, Regulation on Content, Order, Procedures for Formulation, Appraising and Approving Wind Power Development Planning, Legal Document, Hanoi, 08 March 2013
The Government‘s Decision No. 24/2014/QD-TTg, On Support Mechanism for Development of Biomass Power Projects in Vietnam, Legal Document, Hanoi, 24 March 2014
The Ministry of Industry and Trade‘s Circular No. 31/2011/TT-BCT, Providing for The Adjustment of Electricity Sale Prices According to Basic Input Parameters, Legal Document, Hanoi, 24 March 2014
Events
Date: 2nd June 2015
Venue: The Vissai Saigon Hotel, 144 Nguyen Van Troi Street, Ward 8, Phu Nhuan District, Ho Chi Minh City
Application: by 29th May 2015 to loi.dang@tuv-sud.vn
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Date: Tuesday 30th July 2015
Venue: GIZ-Repräsentanz, Reichpietschufer 20, 10785 Berlin, Germany
Application: by16th july by email to pep-suedostasien@giz.de
The event located in Berlin (Germany) is addressing framework conditions and project possibilities for wind energy in Vietnam.
The participation is for free. Event language will be German, English and Vietnamese (simultaneous translation).
References
- ↑ Dara (2012): Climate Vulnerability Monitor 2nd. http://daraint.org/climate-vulnerability-monitor/climate-vulnerability-monitor-2012/country-profile/?country=Vietnam
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 PDP VII: Prime Minister decision No. 1208/QD-TTg. http://www.nti.org/media/pdfs/VietnamPowerDevelopmentPlan2030.pdf?_=1333146022
- ↑ Vietnamnews.vn (2015): Viet Nam News. EVN reports loss $789.6 milion in 2014. Onlineartikel vom 14. Januar 2015 verfügbar unter: http://vietnamnews.vn/economy/265192/evn-reports-loss-of-7896-million-in-2014.html (zuletzt abgerufen am 4. April 2015).
- ↑ CIEMAT et al. (2015). Maps of Solar Resource and Potential in Vietnam. Ha Noi: CIEMAT, CENER & IDAE with support from AECER in collaboration with GDE/MoIT.
- ↑ World Economic Forum (2012); The Global Competitiveness Report 2012-2013, Geneva. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport_2012-13.pdf
- ↑ Asian Development Bank (2014); Sector Assessment (Summary): Energy. http://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/linked-documents/46391-001-ssa.pdf